Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Can It Rally Toward $2,600 After Short-Term Correction?

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In this week's sharp rally, Ethereum (ETH) briefly hit a local high of $2,623 before retracing to around $2,445. This bullish breakout is now showing signs of correction, with sellers testing a newly formed key support level near $2,420. Positioned above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($2,424) on the weekly chart, this support zone is critical for maintaining ETH’s upward trajectory.

Ethereum Price Forms Bullish Flag Pattern Amid Correction

The 4-hour chart reveals a bullish flag pattern—a continuation signal following ETH’s surge from $2,100 to $2,600. Currently, the price is correcting within the flag channel, trading near its lower boundary. If buyers defend the $2,420–$2,430 support (aligned with EMA20 and Bollinger Band’s lower band), a breakout could propel ETH toward $2,550–$2,600.

The short-term pullback is expected after ETH’s parabolic run. The RSI (43–45) on 30-minute and 4-hour charts indicates neutral-to-slightly bearish sentiment. However, a rebound above RSI 50 and stabilizing MACD histogram could signal momentum reversal, easing bearish pressure.

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Why Is Ethereum’s Price Dropping Today?

Today’s dip stems from technical factors on lower timeframes. After its May 8–11 rally, ETH faced strong resistance near $2,600, triggering minor profit-taking. The $2,555–$2,600 zone (a prior liquidity area on 30-minute charts) remains a stubborn barrier, dictating whether ETH resumes its uptrend or breaks below $2,420.

The broader daily chart shows ETH has cleared a major descending trendline from $1,940. Yet, narrowing Bollinger Bands on 4-hour frames suggest reduced volatility short-term.

Short-Term Outlook: Can ETH Retest $2,600?

As long as ETH holds $2,420, bulls retain control. A flag breakout may reignite a rally toward $2,555, then $2,600. The next major target is $2,745 (50% Fibonacci level). Conversely, losing $2,420 support could open the door to $2,300 or even $2,246 (EMA50).

Traders should watch for volume-confirmed breakouts near $2,460–$2,480. Weak momentum might deepen corrections toward $2,071 (EMA100).

Ethereum Price Forecast Summary

MetricValue / Signal
Current Price$2,445
Key Resistance$2,555, $2,600, $2,745
Key Support$2,420, $2,300, $2,246
RSI (4H)43.2 (Neutral)
MACD (30min)Fading bearish crossover
PatternBullish flag forming
Short-Term BiasSideways-to-bullish

FAQs

Q: What’s driving Ethereum’s price correction?
A: Profit-taking near $2,600 resistance and lower timeframe technical pullbacks.

Q: Is Ethereum still bullish long-term?
A: Yes, provided it holds $2,420 support. Clearing $2,745 would confirm a broader trend reversal.

Q: Should I buy ETH now?
A: Monitor the $2,420–$2,430 support. A rebound with rising volume could signal a buying opportunity.

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